Four Marys stood at the cross.
Three Marys went to the tomb.And Mary said, "but he's alive."
And Cleopas said, "we're going home."
Four Marys stood at the cross.
Three Marys went to the tomb.Back before the First World War broke out, there was an idea that civilisation was moving forwards and the sum of human knowledge increasing.
Now, I don't know if the sum of human knowledge is increasing these days. But I reckon if it is, the distribution of human knowledge is pretty lumpy.
Take the annual claim expressed by Facebookers that "Easter is a pagan festival". Which I may have mentioned once or twice before.
So taking the claims in turn: they claim that Easter stole the Spring Equinox from the festival of Eostre. Who is probably well-enough attested to accept she was regarded as a goddess by the West Germanic tribes. The main source for her is an 8th Century work by Bede, an Anglo-Saxon Christian, who tells us that the month of April in Old English was named after her. And therefore the feast of "Easter" got its name from her.
So the West Germanic races stole a feast, invented the concept of the Christian "Easter" and named it after her. The modern Eostre-supporters claim the Solstice was named "Ostara" after her. There's no actual evidence for this, and of course "Ostara" doesn't fall in "Eostre-monat". It falls in March.
So far so wacky, proof that anyone who claims that Easter (a celebration dating back to 2nd century Turkey) is based on Eostre (probably an Anglo-Saxon goddess, first named in the 8th century) has been enjoying some festive magic mushrooms. Outside the rain-blighted western Germanic coasts, Easter has a name like "Pasch" that derives from the Hebrew/Aramaic word from Passover. Which it would. Because of course Christianity took its origins (and the principles of its dating) from Passover, the Jewish feast. Not a pagan feast at all. No offence to modern Pagans, who are a kindly and gentle nature-loving bunch in my experience.
But hang on a mo.
What sort of goddess was Eostre? Given we know so little about her.
Well, obviously she was a Germanic goddess. Do we know anything about Germanic deities in general?
They had equivalents in Norse deities. Where they were frequently pretty bloodthirsty. The way to get into Valhalla was to die in battle.
And the Anglo-Saxons themselves. Were they peace-and-nature-loving hippies, tripping around saying hello to trees and flowers? Did they think the stars were God's daisy-chain?
Or had they just spent a couple of hundred years before Bede's time, driving the Celtic (also pagan) people of the British isles off to the fringes by a combination of invasion, genocide, and inter-breeding?
Yes, second one.
So she had mates like Woden, and Thunor. The people who worshipped her were warriors and invaders.
And then Jacob Grimm suggested her animal familiar may have been the hare. No evidence for this, just made it up.
So let's pretend for a minute that the Eostre the Angles and Saxons may have worshipped had a pet hare or bunny. What sort of lagomorph might it be? One that just leaps around in spring, mating and eating carrots?
Or Monty Python's Rabbit of Caerbannog? The neck-biting monster?
Break out the Holy Hand Grenade of Antioch is all I have to say on the matter.
Pilate's question to Jesus - in his fear as the people outside demand Jesus's blood: “Where do you come from?”
And it's a question with many potential answers.
When people ask me where do I come from I generally say Husborne Crawley. As I think that's generally true. But I could say I come from Luton,
where I was born. Or Dunstable, the town next door, where I attended St Mitholmroyd's Academy for the Daughters of Distressed Gentlefolk. Or I could
pay homage to my mum's parents and their story and say I'm "London Overspill". These
are all in their way true.
Jesus says nothing. But what could he say?
He could say he's from Nazareth. That little place where he
grew up, where he learned to saw and build.
He could say he's from Capernaum - that's where his house
is. The house in all likelihood where someone cut a hole through his roof to
lower a disabled man to him.
He could recite the Haggadah, the passage from Deuteronomy
used at the feast of Firstfruits within tehe celebration of Passover, and say "My father was a wandering
Aramean, and he went down into Egypt with a few people and lived there and
became a great nation, powerful and numerous."
He could say from Bethlehem, because he's the Son of David
that the prophets promised, the Messiah who God has sent to save his people.
That would not increase his chances of leaving Jerusalem
alive.
Or he could say - I come, Pilate, from where you can't
imagine. I come from beyond the depths of time and space. I have no beginning
and no end. Through me everything was created. Through me everything exists.
Through me the stars hang in their lonely orbits and the sun generates its
heat. Even the molecules of oxygen that you pant into your panicking body right
now own their existence to me. If I chose, you would not exist. I come
from God the Father and I will come again from God’s right hand to be your
judge. You may have the power to release me or crucify me - but I have the power to release you, if you wanted.
And they would all be true - about this son of Abraham, of David, and God.
But he says nothing. And Pilate can do nothing. Except obey
the will of some of the people he's supposed to be ruling. And though Jesus
goes to die, it’s Pilate who is the broken man.
And so the one who made the earth hangs above it for six
hours, as his human life ebbs away. And he fights the devil on the cross, and
he will descend to Hell and fight the devil on his own home turf, and he will
win both home and away. And we sing his praise because through his death, we have life. And when
he comes again, from the place where he is gone – he will make us like him, and
we will see him as he is. And know where he is from, because we will belong
there too.
And David Pleat succeeded George Graham, who had been at heart a Gooner
And Glenn Hoddle succeeded David Pleat
And Jacques Santinti succeeded Glenn Hoddle
And Martin Jol succeeded Jacques Santini
And Clive Allen and Alex Inglethorpe succeeded Martin Jol
And Juande Ramos succeeded Clive Allen and Alex Inglethorpe
And Harry Redknapp succeeded Juande Ramos
And André Villas-Boas succeeded Harry Redknapp
And Tim Sherwood succeeded André Villas-Boas
And Mauricio Pochettino succeeded Tim Sherwood
And José Mourinho succeeded Mauricio Pochettino
And Ryan Mason succeeded José Mourinho
And Nuno Espírito Santo succeeded Ryan Mason
And Antonio Conte succeeded Nuno Espírito Santo
And Christian Stellini succeeded Antonio Conte
And Ryan Mason succeeded Christian Stellini
And Ange Postecoglou replaced Ryan Mason
And Thomas Frank replaced Ange Postecoglou
And Igor Tudor replaced Thomas Frank
And they wondered who should replace Igor Tudor
And everyone wondered if maybe the manager wasn't the problem.
A few months ago, when great fuss was being made about a YouGov survey for the Bible Society that showed that there was a revival - especially among young people - in churches, the Church Mouse said that it didn't seem to correlate with experience.
When other criticism of the methodology also came in, and people pointed out that the survey didn't agree with the Good Old C of E's Statistics for Mission, defences such as that of Dr Rob Edward-Symmons on the Premier website came out.
A bit of an industry appeared, celebrating the new rush of converts into the churches. There were conferences. Some people said how much it matched with their experience.
The Bible Society has just pulled the survey, and removed its FAQs from its website. YouGov has admitted that the methodology wasn't sound.
Which is a great shame. It would have been lovely to see all these people who were allegedly newly arrived in church.
But there's two lessons. One is that some people suffered from confirmation bias. Any church leader experiencing growth would have been shouting out "WE ARE PART OF THE QUIET REVIVAL". Any church leader experiencing decline would have kept quiet and wondered why God was punishing them or what was wrong with them. So the noise makes it sound like there's a quiet revival.
And the other is - you're only as good as the data you use. Many years ago now, a major retailer was having problems with planning for their "returns" - Internet sales that were then sent back. Every week, tens or over hundreds of thousands of items were reported to be in the supply chain from the stores back to the distribution centre. And yet every week only a few thousand actually turned up. They kept planning for and fearing the avalanche, which would overwhelm the available labour and space for processing returns. It never happened. Eventually, someone wondered where the discrepancy came from. And found there was a system issue - stores could report they were a returning an item, but then discover they could sell it instead. The avalanche of returned items - which would have filled up every store warehouse and every lorry in the supply chain - simply didn't exist. The items weren't in the supply chain, often they weren't even in the stores. Sometimes they were walking down the street on their new owners.
The moral is - if your data is surprising, there's a good chance it's wrong. If your data is good news you weren't expecting, definitely go and check it again. If there's other data showing completely different evidence - compare the two and find out why.
It's the same reason in a way that one injury or death due to a vaccination makes so much more impact than millions of people being better protected. People shout about the dramatic, not about the undramatic.
Data is good. It can help you make good decisions. Just make sure it's right.
Now get out and worship God like you're supposed to. That, at least, hasn't been withdrawn.
Well, the Equinoctial Festival of Balance went off as well as ever.
"Daniel Hannan tweeted: 'Obviously Nick Timothy should not be sanctioned for expressing a legitimate view.'Equally, people should not be prevented from praying in public, whether they be anti-abortion protesters or Muslims marking sunset prayers."